March 22, 2008
The neck-and-neck narrative
From Politico:
Journalists have become partners with the Clinton campaign in pretending that the contest is closer than it really is. Most coverage breathlessly portrays the race as a down-to-the-wire sprint between two well-matched candidates, one only slightly better situated than the other to win in August at the national convention in Denver.
In fact, says the post,
But let’s assume a best-case scenario for Clinton, one where she wins every remaining contest with 60 percent of the vote (an unlikely outcome since she has hit that level in only three states so far — her home state of New York, Rhode Island and Arkansas).
Even then, she would still be behind Obama in delegates.
The post is about why the media portrays a contest Hillary is highly unlikely to win as a neck-and-neck horse race.
(As an Obama supporter, I’m reluctant to blog this since I have never been right.)